Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 334.270068 378.577574 427.648758 486.214766 554.454073 631.744383 726.322612
2025-11-02 263.185909 320.090949 388.668584 478.138688 592.864686 736.502263 932.261754
2025-11-09 231.852882 295.817883 377.458211 490.776649 646.337449 855.880635 1165.535252
2025-11-16 204.563951 270.847153 359.318656 488.300757 675.380354 943.005190 1366.350129
2025-11-23 182.603691 249.311168 341.739217 482.209704 695.811430 1017.847213 1559.065257
2025-11-30 167.430309 234.957963 331.720728 484.450746 727.036531 1111.176553 1795.077980
2025-12-07 152.047725 218.400870 316.246532 475.807880 739.059120 1174.407518 1990.658857
2025-12-14 140.410945 206.084136 305.545678 472.789753 758.848235 1252.044010 2224.633947
2025-12-21 127.044360 189.810408 286.991466 454.634382 750.219358 1278.249366 2365.923709
2025-12-28 122.416995 186.696608 288.806680 470.308579 802.029555 1420.282485 2762.893245
2026-01-04 118.757310 184.722329 292.131068 488.691098 860.820571 1584.222583 3241.171325
2026-01-11 112.568100 178.023602 286.850068 491.001900 889.386790 1692.686511 3621.136046
2026-01-18 104.380201 167.499403 274.391580 479.379043 890.391046 1747.030865 3893.982090
2026-01-25 97.568731 158.828729 264.472875 471.542687 898.142493 1817.460639 4225.123926
2026-02-01 94.423780 156.250548 265.118462 483.968473 949.320912 1992.376995 4871.493800
2026-02-08 89.472652 150.073842 258.641414 481.533353 968.240206 2096.191704 5353.725489
2026-02-15 84.497715 143.484571 250.838018 475.541410 978.407339 2180.677911 5804.506823
2026-02-22 80.974274 139.290788 247.200618 477.746005 1007.393166 2316.889536 6452.360899
2026-03-01 76.463628 132.948890 238.922385 469.243543 1010.181042 2386.216792 6909.560615
2026-03-08 72.937127 128.229115 233.457143 466.274342 1025.861813 2492.794749 7526.043834
2026-03-15 68.064758 120.637559 221.746175 448.412112 1002.637222 2488.526094 7754.509885
2026-03-22 67.007156 120.349795 224.720830 463.833348 1065.369261 2739.892929 9008.944404
2026-03-29 66.227631 120.543939 228.678035 481.917310 1137.774842 3035.744841 10561.947576